Modelling drug use: methods to quantify and understand hidden processes


Dynamic modelling is a quantitative technique used by scientists when data are scarce to generate estimates, test hypotheses and forecast trends. This publication explores the potential role of dynamic modelling in helping to interpret data on drug use and its consequences in the European Union. The monograph contains over a dozen expert reviews on modelling techniques and their use in estimating drug use and related health consequences. The publication presents dynamic modelling as a valuable analytical tool, not only in improving insight into drug use, but also in contributing to the development of evidence-based drug policies and interventions.

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Table of contents

  • What is modelling and how can it be used?
  • Modelling drug use with available data
  • Modelling techniques and their uses
  • Modelling the health consequences of drug uses
  • Economic models